Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Implied probability 0%−1
24-hour volume$98k
Total volume$1.0M
Liquidity$135k
Resolves1 Apr 2027
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What counts
For the outcome "Yes" to happen, Pope Leo XIV must be named as the sole winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. For the outcome "No," either someone else wins the prize or no official announcement is made by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%