Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$32k
Resolved24 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 4% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the match ends with exactly one goal for Aston Villa and zero goals for Manchester City after 90 minutes of regulation time plus stoppage time. The No outcome applies to any other scoreline, including draws or different winning margins. Readers often mistake the final result to include extra time or penalty shootouts, but these are excluded from the resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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