Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$56k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 22:11 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 13:45 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 11:26 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
Microsoft must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on November 30, 2026, for the Yes outcome to occur. Any other company taking that top spot results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but the final determination relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a single data provider.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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