Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?
The market favoured No at 58% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.2M
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$622k
Resolved2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 46% |
| 2 Nov, 06:14 UTC | 45% |
| 1 Nov, 20:57 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 41% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Newcastle United FC wins the match scheduled for November 2, 2026, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if Newcastle does not win, if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up match, or if it remains tied after the specified time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →