Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?
Why it moved: −10 points at 12:24 UTC, after News - South China Morning Post: DeepSeek engineer defends push for open-source AI smarter than humans despite higher risks — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 5 Nov, 08:14 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Nov, 07:09 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 06:11 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 02:10 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 23:18 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 16:35 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 14:37 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 24% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the outcome to be Yes, DeepSeek must release a new Pro model that is publicly accessible and newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813 by November 30, 2026 (ET). The model must have a distinct identifier or date designation and be clearly announced as available to the general public.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%
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