Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
The market favoured Villarreal CF at 61% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$313k
Total volume$315k
Liquidity$137k
Resolved20 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 38% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 37% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 42% |
| 20 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 42% |
What counts
Liverpool FC wins if they beat Villarreal by two goals or more in regular time and stoppage. Villarreal CF wins if Liverpool does not achieve that margin of victory. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result depends on extra time or penalties rather than just the score at the end of regulation.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Liverpool FC 0%
- Villarreal CF 100%
View this market on Polymarket →