Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
Why it moved: +3 points at 17:06 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: How can Thunder survive Chet Holmgren's absence? Rookie Aday Mara becomes vital as trade rumors swirl — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 50% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 49% |
| 31 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 50% |
| 31 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 50% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Rockets outcome occurs if Houston wins by three points or more. The Thunder outcome applies if Oklahoma City wins, ties, or loses by fewer than three points. Readers often mistake the point spread for a requirement that the Rockets must simply win the game.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Rockets 51%
- Thunder 50%
Trade this market on Polymarket →