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Will West Indies win?

Implied probability 16%−13
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves4 Nov 2026

Why it moved: −18 points at 12:19 UTC, after Times of India: Fan's 'thanda paani mat peena' advice to Vaibhav Suryavanshi wins hearts — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will West Indies win?
0%50%100%16%27 Oct, 12:04 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now16%
28 Oct, 18:52 UTC16%
28 Oct, 17:23 UTC16%
28 Oct, 16:59 UTC16%
28 Oct, 16:17 UTC16%
28 Oct, 15:47 UTC16%
28 Oct, 15:26 UTC17%
28 Oct, 14:42 UTC16%
28 Oct, 14:14 UTC16%
28 Oct, 13:49 UTC15%
28 Oct, 12:19 UTC15%
27 Oct, 12:04 UTC34%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the West Indies win the scheduled Test match against Bangladesh on October 28, 2026, or if an official ruling declares them the winner. It resolves to No if the West Indies lose, and to draw if the match ends in a tie without a decisive on-field result or if it is canceled.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 16%
  • No 84%

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