No one announced as next James Bond?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 13:14 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 00:04 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 07:40 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 23:13 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution relies on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios or a consensus of credible reporting. Readers often mistake the deadline for the casting process itself rather than the specific date and time of the public announcement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%
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