Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Implied probability 60%+31
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$163k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 13:55 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 13:25 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Nov, 23:37 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Callum Turner receives an official announcement as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves based on the first official confirmation from Amazon MGM Studios or credible reporting consensus, regardless of any future changes to that casting decision.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%
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