Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$189k
Total volume$190k
Liquidity$246k
Resolved28 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 29 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 100% |
| 28 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 28% |
| 27 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 24% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The official result from the governing body determines the outcome, with backup data sources used only if that information is delayed. Readers often mistake the final score including extra time or penalties for the deciding factor, but only the regular-time result counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →