Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?
The market favoured Yes at 54% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$31k
Resolved17 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 49% |
| 17 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 49% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 30% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his scheduled remarks at the Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky on October 17, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not use these terms during that specific event. Readers often mistake any other speech or comment by Trump for this market, but only words spoken at the named rally count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →