Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 24?
Why it moved: −28 points at 06:23 UTC, after NPR World: France announces nightly curfews 'for as long as necessary' in Paris and other cities — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 21 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 19% |
| 20 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 47% |
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if there is at least one full calendar day between the market's creation date and October 24 (inclusive) when no curfew is in effect anywhere within Lyon’s official municipal boundaries, measured in Lyon time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 82%
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