NewsMarkets

Markets

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Implied probability 100%
24-hour volume$100k
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$261k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
0%50%100%100%28 Oct, 06:43 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
4 Nov, 04:25 UTC100%
4 Nov, 03:33 UTC100%
4 Nov, 03:18 UTC100%
4 Nov, 00:36 UTC100%
3 Nov, 23:46 UTC100%
3 Nov, 23:03 UTC100%
3 Nov, 20:41 UTC100%
3 Nov, 19:14 UTC100%
3 Nov, 18:21 UTC100%
3 Nov, 05:54 UTC100%
3 Nov, 02:08 UTC100%
2 Nov, 17:56 UTC100%
2 Nov, 07:10 UTC100%
1 Nov, 15:31 UTC100%
1 Nov, 11:19 UTC99%
1 Nov, 06:22 UTC99%
1 Nov, 01:52 UTC99%
31 Oct, 21:46 UTC100%
31 Oct, 20:21 UTC99%
31 Oct, 17:06 UTC99%
31 Oct, 16:29 UTC99%
31 Oct, 15:52 UTC99%
31 Oct, 14:38 UTC99%
31 Oct, 12:54 UTC99%
31 Oct, 12:25 UTC99%
31 Oct, 11:42 UTC99%
31 Oct, 07:04 UTC99%
31 Oct, 06:36 UTC99%
31 Oct, 06:22 UTC99%
31 Oct, 03:45 UTC99%
31 Oct, 02:12 UTC99%
31 Oct, 01:53 UTC99%
31 Oct, 00:57 UTC99%
30 Oct, 22:33 UTC99%
30 Oct, 20:00 UTC100%
30 Oct, 19:27 UTC99%
30 Oct, 12:31 UTC100%
30 Oct, 11:18 UTC99%
30 Oct, 10:13 UTC99%
30 Oct, 06:42 UTC99%
30 Oct, 06:28 UTC99%
30 Oct, 05:35 UTC99%
30 Oct, 02:48 UTC99%
30 Oct, 01:03 UTC99%
30 Oct, 00:35 UTC99%
30 Oct, 00:14 UTC100%
29 Oct, 22:10 UTC99%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC99%
29 Oct, 18:06 UTC99%
29 Oct, 17:26 UTC99%
29 Oct, 14:32 UTC100%
29 Oct, 14:07 UTC99%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC100%
29 Oct, 09:41 UTC99%
29 Oct, 07:32 UTC99%
29 Oct, 05:44 UTC99%
29 Oct, 02:27 UTC99%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC99%
29 Oct, 01:18 UTC99%
29 Oct, 00:48 UTC99%
28 Oct, 21:22 UTC99%
28 Oct, 20:59 UTC99%
28 Oct, 19:48 UTC99%
28 Oct, 18:22 UTC99%
28 Oct, 17:23 UTC98%
28 Oct, 16:59 UTC98%
28 Oct, 15:11 UTC98%
28 Oct, 14:14 UTC98%
28 Oct, 13:41 UTC98%
28 Oct, 11:31 UTC98%
28 Oct, 10:09 UTC98%
28 Oct, 09:55 UTC98%
28 Oct, 06:43 UTC98%

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the 2026 US Midterm Elections occur on November 3, 2026. It resolves to No if they do not happen on that specific date. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but official government information takes precedence over media reports.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market