Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
The market favoured No at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Why it moved: −4 points at 03:42 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Caitlin Clark, Sophie Cunningham, A'ja Wilson's Box Score Stats, Highlights as Aces Eliminate Fever — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 05:38 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 16:14 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 08:33 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 08:19 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 06:22 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 23:13 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 20:01 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 14:30 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 22:45 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 22:10 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 17:49 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 16:39 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 11:21 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 05:03 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 04:07 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 02:15 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 00:14 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 22:06 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 00:17 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 11% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Indiana Fever are officially named the 2026 WNBA champion. The No outcome applies if they lose in the playoffs, fail to qualify, or if the season ends without a declared winner by November 14, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →