Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Why it moved: −7 points at 19:47 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Caleb Williams Injured, Latest on Bears Star After Being Carted Off in Vikings Loss — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 20 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Sept, 21:07 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Sept, 20:54 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 13% |
| 17 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 13% |
| 17 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 13% |
| 17 Sept, 13:21 UTC | 13% |
| 17 Sept, 12:28 UTC | 13% |
| 17 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 13% |
| 17 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 15% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Caleb Williams is officially named the 2026 NFL MVP. The No outcome applies if any other player wins the award or if the season ends without a winner declared by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked injury story as relevant to the resolution, but only the final MVP announcement matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 97%
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