Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026?
Implied probability 70%+7
24-hour volume$469
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 02:17 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 23:54 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 15:13 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 14:44 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 12:17 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 10:58 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 09:36 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Nov, 09:21 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Nov, 08:53 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Nov, 08:24 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 22:12 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 18:44 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 16:19 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 13:25 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Nov, 11:20 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 10:52 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 10:22 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 09:54 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 06:44 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 06:15 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 04:08 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 02:51 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Nov, 18:49 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the Yes outcome, Donald Trump and Mark Carney must meet in person and interact before November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if this specific in-person encounter does not occur by that deadline. Readers often mistake general political discussions or trade deal progress for a formal meeting.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 70%
- No 31%
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