Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved29 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 100% |
| 28 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 95% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Coinbase reports a GAAP EPS greater than -$0.10 in its next quarterly earnings release, and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution source; only the official earnings document or SeekingAlpha counts. The deadline is 4:00 PM ET on the day earnings are announced, not the date of the news article.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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