Israel military action against Lebanon on September 19?
The market favoured Yes at 90% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$22k
Resolved19 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 19 Sept, 18:16 UTC | 100% |
| 18 Sept, 18:16 UTC | 90% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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