England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
The market favoured Pakistan at 63% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$269k
Total volume$278k
Liquidity$0
Resolved7 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 97% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 55% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 75% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 38% |
| 31 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 28% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 46% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 55% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 54% |
| 31 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 65% |
| 31 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 61% |
What counts
The market resolves based on which team wins the scheduled cricket match between Pakistan and Sri Lanka. A win includes any result declared by official rules, such as DLS adjustments or Super Over outcomes. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline for the start time of the match rather than the conclusion, or assume informal reports override official statistics if published within two hours.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Pakistan 100%
- Sri Lanka 0%
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