Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Implied probability 31%−1
24-hour volume$38
Total volume$25k
Liquidity$91k
Resolves14 Jun 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 16 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 31% |
| 16 Oct, 01:15 UTC | 31% |
| 16 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 32% |
| 15 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 31% |
| 15 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 32% |
| 15 Oct, 09:50 UTC | 32% |
| 14 Oct, 09:50 UTC | 35% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Spain wins if it claims the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League title before the deadline. The market resolves to "No" if Spain gets eliminated or if the tournament ends without a winner by June 13, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the linked friendly match for the actual competition.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 31%
- No 69%
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