Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$335
Total volume$99k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The outcome depends on the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target interest rate range after its December 2026 meeting. The market resolves based on official Federal Reserve announcements, rounding the final rate to the nearest quarter point. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the resolution deadline, but the market stays open until December 31, 2026, if no decision is issued by then.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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