Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?
Implied probability 98%
24-hour volume$197
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves30 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 99% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency assigns to Typhoon Champi during its lifetime. For the "Yes" outcome to occur, JMA must classify the storm as "Violent," which requires sustained winds of at least 54 meters per second.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%
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