Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
The market favoured No at 78% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 02:36 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 06:31 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Sept, 04:07 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 29% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 29% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 44% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Sept, 17:06 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 08:35 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 08:15 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 02:39 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 09:33 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 06:32 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 02:17 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 00:56 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 18:36 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 18:07 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 16:51 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 16:11 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 07:35 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 07:00 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 06:23 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 04:56 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Sept, 14:18 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 09:00 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 45% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Minnesota Lynx are officially declared the 2026 WNBA champions. The No outcome applies if any other team wins, if the Lynx are eliminated from contention, or if the season is cancelled or delayed past November 14, 2026. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which is based on when a champion is declared rather than the final game date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →