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Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?

Resolved: No 2h ago

The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$46k
Total volume$220k
Liquidity$31k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
0%50%100%0%29 Oct, 06:58 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
4 Nov, 03:48 UTC1%
4 Nov, 03:18 UTC0%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC0%
4 Nov, 02:12 UTC1%
4 Nov, 01:20 UTC1%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC2%
4 Nov, 00:15 UTC2%
3 Nov, 23:53 UTC2%
3 Nov, 23:03 UTC2%
3 Nov, 22:56 UTC2%
3 Nov, 22:19 UTC2%
3 Nov, 21:34 UTC2%
3 Nov, 21:26 UTC3%
3 Nov, 20:34 UTC3%
3 Nov, 20:27 UTC3%
3 Nov, 19:57 UTC3%
3 Nov, 19:29 UTC3%
3 Nov, 18:59 UTC3%
3 Nov, 18:29 UTC3%
3 Nov, 17:58 UTC3%
3 Nov, 17:17 UTC3%
3 Nov, 16:55 UTC3%
3 Nov, 16:26 UTC3%
3 Nov, 15:57 UTC3%
3 Nov, 15:29 UTC3%
3 Nov, 14:32 UTC3%
3 Nov, 14:25 UTC3%
3 Nov, 13:32 UTC3%
3 Nov, 13:25 UTC3%
3 Nov, 12:42 UTC3%
3 Nov, 12:28 UTC3%
3 Nov, 11:52 UTC2%
3 Nov, 11:13 UTC2%
3 Nov, 10:45 UTC2%
3 Nov, 08:02 UTC2%
3 Nov, 07:55 UTC2%
3 Nov, 07:26 UTC2%
3 Nov, 06:37 UTC2%
3 Nov, 06:23 UTC2%
3 Nov, 05:54 UTC3%
3 Nov, 05:25 UTC3%
3 Nov, 04:57 UTC3%
3 Nov, 04:29 UTC3%
3 Nov, 03:54 UTC3%
3 Nov, 03:12 UTC3%
3 Nov, 02:58 UTC3%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC3%
2 Nov, 23:51 UTC2%
2 Nov, 23:16 UTC2%
2 Nov, 22:54 UTC2%
2 Nov, 22:09 UTC2%
2 Nov, 21:55 UTC2%
2 Nov, 21:26 UTC2%
2 Nov, 20:37 UTC2%
2 Nov, 20:16 UTC2%
2 Nov, 19:54 UTC2%
2 Nov, 19:26 UTC2%
2 Nov, 18:34 UTC1%
2 Nov, 17:49 UTC1%
2 Nov, 17:04 UTC1%
2 Nov, 16:42 UTC1%
2 Nov, 15:56 UTC1%
2 Nov, 15:27 UTC1%
2 Nov, 14:49 UTC1%
2 Nov, 14:26 UTC2%
2 Nov, 13:41 UTC2%
2 Nov, 13:26 UTC2%
2 Nov, 12:56 UTC2%
2 Nov, 09:25 UTC2%
2 Nov, 08:57 UTC2%
2 Nov, 08:29 UTC2%
2 Nov, 07:47 UTC2%
2 Nov, 06:35 UTC2%
2 Nov, 06:21 UTC2%
2 Nov, 05:53 UTC2%
2 Nov, 05:02 UTC2%
2 Nov, 04:54 UTC2%
2 Nov, 03:35 UTC2%
2 Nov, 03:28 UTC2%
31 Oct, 22:28 UTC2%
31 Oct, 12:18 UTC2%
31 Oct, 04:57 UTC2%
31 Oct, 04:00 UTC2%
31 Oct, 03:52 UTC2%
31 Oct, 03:24 UTC2%
31 Oct, 02:47 UTC2%
31 Oct, 01:32 UTC2%
31 Oct, 01:18 UTC2%
30 Oct, 23:41 UTC2%
30 Oct, 23:16 UTC3%
30 Oct, 22:47 UTC2%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC3%
30 Oct, 21:46 UTC2%
30 Oct, 17:34 UTC2%
30 Oct, 17:27 UTC2%
30 Oct, 14:23 UTC2%
30 Oct, 13:42 UTC2%
30 Oct, 12:59 UTC3%
30 Oct, 11:52 UTC3%
30 Oct, 11:24 UTC3%
30 Oct, 10:50 UTC3%
30 Oct, 07:42 UTC3%
30 Oct, 07:28 UTC3%
30 Oct, 06:49 UTC3%
30 Oct, 06:28 UTC3%
30 Oct, 05:56 UTC3%
30 Oct, 05:21 UTC3%
30 Oct, 04:43 UTC3%
30 Oct, 04:29 UTC3%
30 Oct, 03:54 UTC3%
30 Oct, 02:55 UTC3%
30 Oct, 02:16 UTC3%
30 Oct, 00:06 UTC3%
29 Oct, 23:40 UTC3%
29 Oct, 22:24 UTC3%
29 Oct, 21:55 UTC3%
29 Oct, 21:14 UTC2%
29 Oct, 20:38 UTC2%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC3%
29 Oct, 19:57 UTC3%
29 Oct, 16:35 UTC3%
29 Oct, 15:30 UTC3%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC3%
29 Oct, 14:40 UTC2%
29 Oct, 13:38 UTC2%
29 Oct, 13:22 UTC2%
29 Oct, 12:59 UTC3%
29 Oct, 07:12 UTC3%
29 Oct, 06:58 UTC3%

What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican nominee wins the 2026 Massachusetts governor election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins or if the race remains uncalled by all resolution sources until official certification. Readers often mistake the linked story about other states for the relevant event, but only the Massachusetts results matter.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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