Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Implied probability 5%−2
24-hour volume$94
Total volume$789k
Liquidity$68k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 10:26 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 09:27 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 08:56 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 08:14 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 06:14 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 03:40 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 03:09 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 02:40 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 02:00 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 01:32 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 00:20 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 23:03 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 22:56 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 20:56 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 19:55 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Sept, 17:37 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Sept, 15:42 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 14:42 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 14:07 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 13:39 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 13:17 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 13:17 UTC | 9% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series and No if they do not. The outcome depends on the official winner declared by Major League Baseball, regardless of individual player sentiments or regular-season performance. Readers often mistake news about player frustration for a prediction of the series result, but only the final championship outcome matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%
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