Dana White's Contender Series: Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig (Middleweight, Main Card)
The market favoured Norbert Növényi Jr. at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$59k
Total volume$2
Liquidity$1k
Resolved23 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 23 Sept, 01:40 UTC | 99% |
| 23 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Sept, 18:45 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Sept, 18:45 UTC | 78% |
What counts
Norbert Növényi Jr. wins if he is officially declared the winner of the fight against Theo Haig. Theo Haig wins if he is officially declared the winner. The market resolves to a 50-50 split if the fight ends in a draw, technical draw, no contest, or if it is canceled or postponed beyond October 6, 2026. The resolution source is official UFC information.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Norbert Növényi Jr. 100%
- Theo Haig 0%
View this market on Polymarket →