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Spread: Notre Dame (-5.5)

Implied probability 55%+4
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$25k
Resolves8 Nov 2026

Why it moved: +5 points at 19:49 UTC, after www.espn.com: Sources: Miami's Toney uncertain for Notre Dame due to ankle injury — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Spread: Notre Dame (-5.5)
0%50%100%55%2 Nov, 17:50 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now55%
4 Nov, 21:26 UTC55%
4 Nov, 20:14 UTC55%
4 Nov, 19:49 UTC56%
4 Nov, 06:07 UTC51%
4 Nov, 03:18 UTC51%
3 Nov, 23:24 UTC52%
3 Nov, 17:51 UTC51%
2 Nov, 17:50 UTC53%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

Notre Dame wins if they beat Miami by six points or more. Otherwise, Miami wins. The result depends on the final score of the completed game.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Notre Dame 55%
  • Miami (FL) 45%

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