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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Implied probability 81%−4
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$622k
Liquidity$70k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −3 points at 04:50 UTC, after News Feed: Lex in depth: Anthropic at $2tn isn’t far-fetched — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
0%50%100%81%20 Sept, 04:50 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now81%
21 Sept, 05:55 UTC81%
21 Sept, 04:50 UTC82%
20 Sept, 04:50 UTC85%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Nasdaq Private Market reports a valuation of at least $1.75 trillion for Anthropic on any date through December 31, 2026. If an IPO occurs, the resolution uses the official public market capitalization derived from regular-hours trading prices and outstanding shares.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 81%
  • No 20%

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