Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
Implied probability 0%−1
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$66k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 09:35 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 00:47 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 00:28 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 22:28 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 20:04 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 20:04 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Trump and Putin have an in-person interaction during their next meeting before December 31, 2026. The No outcome applies if they do not meet by that deadline or if their next meeting takes place anywhere other than Belarus. Readers often mistake mere proximity or shared attendance at an event for a qualifying meeting, but direct personal interaction is required.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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