Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Implied probability 76%+5
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$126k
Liquidity$27k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 22 Sept, 23:14 UTC | 76% |
| 22 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 76% |
| 22 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Sept, 13:06 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Sept, 10:26 UTC | 78% |
| 22 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Sept, 04:51 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Sept, 00:20 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Sept, 17:43 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 16:36 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 15:02 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Sept, 14:55 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 14:07 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 09:46 UTC | 68% |
| 21 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 66% |
| 21 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 65% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 65% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Sept, 14:04 UTC | 67% |
| 20 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 66% |
| 20 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 67% |
| 20 Sept, 01:57 UTC | 66% |
| 19 Sept, 16:55 UTC | 66% |
| 19 Sept, 14:20 UTC | 66% |
| 19 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 65% |
| 19 Sept, 10:21 UTC | 64% |
| 19 Sept, 08:40 UTC | 64% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person between January 1 and December 31, 2026. A meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact face-to-face during this period. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline as the end of 2025 or assume that indirect contact counts as a meeting.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 76%
- No 25%
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