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Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$58k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
0%50%100%7%30 Oct, 08:55 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now7%
6 Nov, 04:49 UTC7%
31 Oct, 06:01 UTC8%
31 Oct, 05:54 UTC8%
31 Oct, 05:11 UTC8%
31 Oct, 01:39 UTC8%
31 Oct, 00:17 UTC8%
30 Oct, 23:55 UTC8%
30 Oct, 22:47 UTC8%
30 Oct, 21:24 UTC8%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC8%
30 Oct, 18:51 UTC8%
30 Oct, 18:18 UTC8%
30 Oct, 16:39 UTC8%
30 Oct, 13:50 UTC8%
30 Oct, 13:20 UTC8%
30 Oct, 11:18 UTC8%
30 Oct, 10:50 UTC8%
30 Oct, 10:28 UTC8%
30 Oct, 09:37 UTC10%
30 Oct, 09:29 UTC10%
30 Oct, 08:55 UTC10%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Senator Cortez Masto votes Yea on the first final passage vote for crypto market structure legislation in the Senate before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if she does not vote Yea, if no such vote occurs by that deadline, or if her vote changes after the result is announced. Readers often mistake committee votes or cloture motions for the qualifying final passage vote.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 7%
  • No 93%

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