Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
Implied probability 38%+4
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$25k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 00:37 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 21:38 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 20:53 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 20:17 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 19:11 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 16:50 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 13:49 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 11:45 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 10:56 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 10:27 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 09:58 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 09:16 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 08:55 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 08:27 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 04:06 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 00:27 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 13:38 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 11:03 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 10:02 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 09:55 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 08:58 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 08:07 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 03:16 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 17:34 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 11:12 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 10:58 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 04:03 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 17:10 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Nov, 15:07 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 06:51 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 05:19 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 01:02 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 20:58 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 17:41 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 16:19 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 15:19 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 11:50 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 11:04 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 10:57 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 08:36 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 08:29 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 07:54 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 28% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Luka Doncic is named the winner of the 2026-27 NBA MVP award. It resolves to No if any other player wins the award or if the season ends without a declared winner. Readers often mistake the date of a single high-scoring game for the final outcome, but the result depends solely on the official MVP announcement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%
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