Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$394
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 7% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Ernst Fehr is named a laureate in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The market resolves to No if he is not named, or if the prize is withheld or unannounced by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%
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