Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?
Implied probability 98%+1
24-hour volume$70k
Total volume$84k
Liquidity$110k
Resolves6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 06:40 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 93% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Argentina wins the match scheduled for October 6, 2026, and No otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final whistle or post-match revisions as the deciding factor, but only the official result at that specific moment counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%
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