Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Why it moved: −7 points at 10:27 UTC, after Bloomberg Technology: Nvidia Boosts Chip Tracking in Southeast Asia to Fight Smuggling — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 05:30 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 05:16 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 03:59 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 23:26 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 22:28 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 20:53 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 20:17 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 19:03 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Nov, 10:56 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Nov, 10:27 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 09:51 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Nov, 09:23 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Nov, 08:55 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 08:20 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Nov, 04:41 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Nov, 04:27 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 19% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 00:27 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
NVIDIA must hold the third-highest market capitalization among all global companies at the exact moment the stock market closes on November 30, 2026, for the Yes outcome to resolve. The No outcome resolves if any other company holds that rank at that specific time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%
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