Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16?
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$22k
Resolved16 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 17 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 100% |
| 16 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 98% |
| 16 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 97% |
| 16 Sept, 22:32 UTC | 97% |
| 16 Sept, 22:09 UTC | 97% |
| 16 Sept, 21:35 UTC | 97% |
| 16 Sept, 21:19 UTC | 97% |
| 16 Sept, 20:31 UTC | 95% |
| 16 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 94% |
| 16 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 95% |
| 16 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 94% |
| 16 Sept, 18:36 UTC | 94% |
| 16 Sept, 17:15 UTC | 93% |
| 16 Sept, 16:53 UTC | 93% |
| 16 Sept, 16:20 UTC | 91% |
| 16 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 15:34 UTC | 94% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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