Fight to Go the Distance?
The market favoured No at 57% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Why it moved: −43 points at 20:23 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: UFC 333 results: Lone'er Kavanagh bounces back from loss with knockout of Ramazan Temirov — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 44% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the fight lasts all scheduled rounds and ends with a judges' decision, including draws. The outcome is No if the fight ends early by knockout or any other method before the final round. Readers often mistake the resolution source; only official UFC announcements count, not media reports.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →