Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Implied probability 38%+1
24-hour volume$504
Total volume$55k
Liquidity$64k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 19 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 38% |
| 18 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 38% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 38% |
| 18 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 35% |
| 17 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 35% |
| 16 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 36% |
| 16 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 36% |
| 16 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 36% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 36% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Flavio Bolsonaro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in Amazonas. It resolves to No if any other candidate receives more valid votes than him.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 63%
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