Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$269
Total volume$808k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the World Health Organization explicitly calls an Ebola outbreak a pandemic in an official communication by December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if the WHO does not use that specific term or if it declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern without labeling it a pandemic.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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