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Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability 5%+1
24-hour volume$71k
Total volume$9.2M
Liquidity$329k
Resolves8 Nov 2028

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What counts

The 'Yes' outcome occurs if Kamala Harris wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, and 'No' occurs if she does not. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. Readers often mistake the linked Michigan Senate race headline as relevant to this presidential election outcome.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

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