Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
Implied probability 97%
Total volume$58k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves22 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 09:37 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 09:41 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 08:19 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 03:21 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Oct, 06:06 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 01:19 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 15:10 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the outcome "Yes" to occur, Lionel Messi must win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. For the outcome "No," either another player wins the award or there is no declared winner due to cancellation or postponement after December 31, 2026 ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%
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