Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by October 31?
Why it moved: +11 points at 23:21 UTC, after theinformation.com: Anthropic releases cheaper model in first launch since slowdown calls — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 22 Sept, 23:21 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 23:21 UTC | 88% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Anthropic takes discretionary action to zero or refill usage counters for paid subscription users before October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. Normal scheduled resets, temporary limit increases, and API rate limit changes do not count toward this outcome. Readers often mistake the release of a new model or standard pricing updates for a qualifying usage reset.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%
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