Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Implied probability 65%
24-hour volume$8
Total volume$1.3M
Liquidity$247k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 21 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if a Democrat wins the presidency, while No applies if a Republican wins. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same party, or based on who is inaugurated if they do not agree by January 20, 2029.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 65%
- No 35%
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