Spread: Colts (-4.5)
Implied probability 50%
24-hour volume$78k
Total volume$91k
Liquidity$784k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Colts outcome requires them to win by five or more points in the scheduled October 4 game. The Commanders outcome applies if they win, tie, or if the Colts win by fewer than five points. Readers often mistake the point spread threshold, thinking a four-point victory counts for the Colts when it actually results in a Commanders win.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Colts 50%
- Commanders 51%
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