Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
Implied probability 33%−2
24-hour volume$454
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 7 Nov, 06:32 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 23:15 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 13:30 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 13:07 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 11:03 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 08:58 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 08:14 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 06:01 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 15:04 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 12:34 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 03:57 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 31% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Victor Wembanyama wins if he is named the 2026-27 NBA MVP. The market resolves to "Other" if the season ends without a winner by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake regular-season performance for the final award decision.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 67%
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