Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?
Why it moved: −16 points at 07:27 UTC, after BBC Sport: Volkanovski nears featherweight immortality as record beckons — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 27% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Movsar Evloev defeats Alexander Volkanovski by knockout or technical knockout, including referee, doctor, or corner stoppages. The outcome is No for any other result, such as a decision, draw, disqualification, or no contest. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline of November 7, 2026, for the fight date, but the market relies on official UFC information.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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