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Duke vs. Virginia

Implied probability 45%−2
24-hour volume$24k
Total volume$25k
Liquidity$287k
Resolves23 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Duke vs. Virginia
0%50%100%45%22 Oct, 10:38 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now45%
23 Oct, 11:13 UTC45%
23 Oct, 10:39 UTC46%
22 Oct, 10:38 UTC47%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Duke if Duke wins the scheduled college football game on October 23 at 7:00 PM ET. It resolves to Virginia if Virginia wins, including any overtime periods. Readers often mistake this for a basketball matchup because both teams are known for their ACC basketball programs.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Duke 45%
  • Virginia 56%

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