Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
Implied probability 0%
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 02:38 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 02:38 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome requires Anthony Albanese to permanently cease holding his office before December 31, 2026. Temporary removals, caretaker roles, or simple resignation announcements do not count as permanent cessation. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2027 instead of late 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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