Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Abu Dhabi Championship?
Implied probability 36%+18
24-hour volume$12k
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves9 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 18:25 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 17:37 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 17:23 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 15:10 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 14:55 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 14:27 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 13:47 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 13:19 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 11:45 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Nov, 11:24 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Nov, 10:55 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Nov, 10:25 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Nov, 09:58 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jon Rahm is the sole winner of the 2026 Abu Dhabi Championship, or if he wins a tie and his last name comes first alphabetically among the tied players. It resolves to No if Rahm is eliminated from contention based on official tournament rules or if another listed player wins.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%
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